Let's Return to a Simpler Time

Let's return to a simpler time, when adults didn't ask one another what they planned to do in the voting booth.

Just eight years ago, I would have disagreed vehemently with that suggestion.  I would have considered it every American's responsibility to contribute to the Marketplace of Ideas and get their thoughts out there.  That was when I believed we made decisions as rational beings that consider the facts, weigh them and come to a decision they can support.

But we don't make decisions like that.  At least, most of us don't.

We make decisions emotionally, and then surround ourselves with hand-picked facts that support our position, and challenge things that we consider affronts to our position.  We conveniently ignore facts that don't fit our worldview.  And, worst of all, we judge and demonize people who don't come to the same conclusions we do and wonder how they can come to their conclusions rationally when in possession of the same set of facts we are.

But if we understood that our decision-making process - for most people, anyway - doesn't follow the process we've set out as an ideal, we wouldn't be so judgmental.  We wouldn't be eager to end friendships, or silence voices that give weight to opinions that we don't currently hold.

We fail to understand that no matter who we vote for, some significant percentage of our friends and acquaintances are going to become so emotionally charged and will be so unable to understand your choices, that they will lose respect for you.

They'll block you in social media, cancel plans you have together, silently cross you off the consideration list for a piece of business they were thinking about giving your company, or decide to no longer trust you.

I've not posted publicly in social media about any of the candidates this election cycle.  If anything, I've expressed a certain awe at the strategies being employed - good or bad - and marveled at how they've changed the playing field over time.  (I've always been interested in strategy.)  I've appreciated those things for their strategic value and like thinking about how they'll affect the race.

But I've not publicly committed to a candidate, nor have I gotten involved in the typical arguments you tend to see on social media.  For my political safety valve, I've selected a group of trusted and open-minded friends, and I've kept my comments limited to discussions with them.

Why?  Because if you accept the notion that maybe people don't make decisions the way we might have thought they did, you begin to understand how little effect the discourse actually has.  You begin to look at the risk equation, realizing that every public post, every overheard comment and every opinion that travels about the upcoming election is more of a liability than a credit.

After all, if most people are surrounding themselves with their own supporting facts, and largely ignoring what doesn't fit their worldview - if decisions are made emotionally rather than rationally, trying to change someone's mind is a lot like trying to tell them how they should feel when they fall in love.

I'm not up for that, particularly when showing a bias one way or another would cause me to lose friends I need.

You probably disagree.  You probably think I'm cowardly.  But consider this - I value you and your friendship more than I'm prepared to risk it, simply because we might have different versions of the facts, or different emotional drivers that would cause us to vote one way versus another.

So, let's go back to that period our parents or grandparents lived through, in which people kept their voting booth behavior close to the vest, and we weren't so eager to try to change one another's minds at all cost.

Does Digital Drive Marketing's Need to Violate Privacy? Not Always.

The idea that advertising is wasteful is nothing new.  If you asked anyone on the street to come up with a notable quote about advertising, I’d imagine most would respond with the old John Wanamaker quote – “Half of the money I spend on advertising is wasted; the trouble is, I don’t know which half.”

It’s that kind of thinking that leads marketers to believe that something is inherently wasteful about their advertising, and if they could just employ some sort of method that would allow them to reach only the people who are interested in buying their product, that they would be perfectly efficient with their advertising.

The perfectly-targeted ad campaign, though, is a red herring.  If your advertising reached only the people who were ready to buy your product, your campaign would fail to inform others of your product and you wouldn’t capitalize on mass advertising’s ability to build awareness, such that people who don’t yet need your product won’t turn to a competitor when the need for your product does arise.

I’ve talked about it until I was blue in the face.  Still, this idea persists that micro-targeted ads are the holy grail of advertising.

That belief, though, predates the current trend toward investing in data to target digital ads.

I’ve said it before and I will say it again.  The foundations for digital’s ability to target advertising came from the traditional direct marketing business, the practices of which would completely creep out consumers if they had the slightest inkling of what was going on.  Your purchase behavior, political leanings, personal income, preferred brands and much, much more were being used to target direct mail long before digital ads.  In fact, the first open consumer revolt against DM-style targeting online came when DoubleClick tried to merge with Abacus, a catalog marketing outfit.  People were seemingly okay with offline DM, but didn’t want digital ads to take the same approach.

Don’t mistake this for yet another complaint about the double standards digital has had to endure over the course of its development.  That’s not where I’m going with this.

Last week, though, Doc Searls took issue with addressable cable ads.   I had a couple problems with the piece he wrote.  Laying blame at the feet of digital for addressable cable ads was one of them.  While digital tech can help Big Cable handle the backend intricacies of inserting addressable ads, the method was an idea long before DMPs, DSPs and digital profiles.

If you feel sold out by your cable or telecom provider, know that they’ve been using your information in this way for a long time, and not just in digital ad applications. 

It’s easy to be angry with digital and want to place blame with it, though.  When the aforementioned DoubleClick/Abacus merger caused controversy, digital made the assumption that people didn’t like central databases of consumer information being used to target ads.  So digital just created something that wasn’t centralized.

But the effect is the same that a monster, centralized database of marketing information would have had.  Nowadays, if a company wants to use data to target digital ads, it can simply broker a deal for the information it needs, have a third-party partner match up its own list with cookies or other unique identifiers, and – voila! – the company has its list of ad targets without having to handle any of the Personally-Identifiable Information that would trigger controversy for stepping over the arbitrary line that the industry drew for itself.  I’ve been trying to draw attention to this practice for years, calling it a distributed violation of our collective privacy.

So, Doc asked me on Twitter where I’d place the blame for the enthusiasm for things like addressable cable ads.  First, I’d place them with cable companies.  Secondly, I’d place them with marketers and their agencies that continue to buy into the Church of Wanamaker, and think they’ll achieve marketing nirvana by continually whittling down the size of the audience they think will be interested in what they’re saying (in the interest of “efficiency”).  Thirdly, I’d blame the behind-the-scenes “match partners” that do all the PII dirty work, regardless of the medium being used.

Killing the Tax Cap and Gap Elimination Adjustment

Yes, I'm serious.

Our costs are growing faster than we can raise taxes to make up the difference.  Albany has all the power, since they're making the decisions on state aid.  This is the new normal.

Last month, I saw this.  And it's an example of what the new normal looks like over time.  School districts will be making drastic cuts, but the State Regents will swoop in and save us when key elections approach.  It's an effort to make us forget our struggles on our way to the ballot box.

The re-establishment of local control is a noble goal.  Our kids can't be short-changed because Albany can't balance its budget.  And communities shouldn't be in the position that they have to beg in order to keep their school districts solvent.

Some neighbors and I have something cooking to address this, at a level that's bigger than just our local school district.  And we're looking for people who share the vision of returning control of school districts' destinies to communities.  If you're interested in getting the scoop, hit me up in comments.

Seeking Volunteers: Let's Kill the Tax Cap and Gap Elimination Adjustment

TL;DR - This fiscal problem is much bigger than us and bigger than our district.  Our state government is at fault.  We need to organize.

I’ve been thinking a lot about Sachem School District’s financial woes lately.  While investigating how the school district lost access to property tax money intended for it, I learned a lot.  In fact, I learned that what amounts to a vaporization of over a million dollars is a mere drop in the bucket compared to what we’re facing and what we’ll continue to face in the future.

Along the way, I’ve also discovered that there isn’t a smoking gun here.  Local fiscal irresponsibility isn’t the culprit, here.  Almost every financial problem we have is directly attributable to New York State.  Let’s review:

In 2011, the state implemented the tax cap, and it would have been difficult even at that point to spot the issues we would have living under it.  It changed how our local governments collect taxes, it changed how our towns can fund public projects – it even changed how we vote on school district budgets.

How we vote is completely different now.  Essentially, we have two chances to pass a budget that isn’t an austerity budget.  And we have to decide whether or not we want to waste the first of those two chances trying to pass a cap-piercing budget with a 60% supermajority.  Let that sink in for a minute: If we want to grow our education budget so that it can fund anything new, we need a supermajority of the community to do that.  Passing a cap-piercing budget is exceptionally rare and requires an alignment of the community that just isn't present in many places.  Sachem tried it in 2013 and failed.  That year, seven districts tried to do it and only one succeeded.  In 2014, three tried and they all failed.  In 2015, two tried and both failed.

The dynamic of when you and I were kids has completely changed.  We're not starting from a place where we think constructively about what we might be able to do next year, building on this year's successes.  We're starting from a place of containing costs so that we can afford to fund what we funded last year.  The state is forcing school districts to shrink, regardless of what's going on in each individual district.

Nobody wants to be in this position.

We’re in this position because of the combination of the tax cap law and the Gap Elimination Adjustment. 

We’re missing a large component of the revenue side of our budget equation because of the Gap Elimination Adjustment.  Late last decade, Governor Paterson decided balancing the state budget, then at a $12 billion+ deficit, could close its gap partially on the backs of the local school districts.  This resulted in across-the-board cuts to state education aid that we’re entitled to.  It was supposed to be temporary, but all signs point to living under it as 'the new normal.'

Whatever logic was used at that point to justify the method isn’t important right now.  Just know that school districts have missed out on billions of dollars of state aid, and that money went toward closing the gap in spending by our representatives in Albany.

Not only do districts need to make huge cuts to accommodate the lack of state aid, but they also don’t have the power to shift any of that burden to taxpayers.  Because of the new budget voting dynamic imposed by the tax cap legislation, it’s next to impossible to pass budgets that will accommodate mere year-to-year increases in the cost of living.

The tax cap does not allow us to pass a budget that increases expenditures more than the lesser of 2 percent or the rate of inflation.  You can speculate about artificially low interest rates keeping inflation in check and whatnot, but the message from Albany, regardless, is the same – If you want to spend more than what you did last year, we’re going to make that exceptionally tough for you.

To a fiscal conservative, this sounds like a dream.  But the reality is that national measures of inflation do a horrible job of measuring our local district’s need for funds from year to year.  Especially when coupled with the shortfall in state aid across the board, this is a death sentence for education in New York.  It says we’re all going to have to fund more with less.

Then we have the mandates.  While Albany is holding us to minimal increases, and taking away a good deal of our funding, they’re also mandating more about what our local districts need to fund.

In effect, Albany is telling us what we need to do, that we need to do it with less money than is workable, and they’re doing both of those things while limiting our ability to fund it ourselves.  They’re strangling us.

I know.  It begs the question.  “Why does every other district seem to be able to handle this while Sachem can’t?”

First, an anecdote.  When I came into this district, I did so reluctantly.  I came from a district further east that graduated no more than a few hundred students and where everybody knew everybody else.  The idea of moving into Sachem frightened me, and I even resisted, thinking my kids would be forced to compete on a larger stage, and wondering how such a behemoth of a district could compete with smaller ones that offered more individual attention.

Since then, my fears have been diminished somewhat.  One thing that went a long way toward making me think Sachem could be a good place for my kids was the notion that Sachem should be the model district for a fiscal conservative.  It’s huge.  It takes care of a huge swath of Long Islanders.  Administration is about as consolidated as it can be.  Surely, when Albany decides it wants to pick a fight with inefficient districts, Sachem will be pretty far down the list of targets, no?

No.  The truth is that Sachem’s size is what’s causing it to be among the first handful of districts running into revenue problems in this perfect storm. 

We should be the ones thriving in a fiscally conservative environment, but we’re not.  And it’s through little fault of our own.  That tells me something isn’t working in Albany.  It also tells me that we’re the canary in the mine, and that the problems we’re having are going to be everyone else’s problems in fairly short order.

If you don’t believe me, do a Google search for "Gap Elimination" or for "New York Tax Cap law".  Read all the newspaper articles that come up about districts elsewhere on the island, or from upstate.  Clearly, the problem is on everyone’s radar, and there’s a common theme – nobody knows how to deal with financial problems that are orders of magnitude larger than what they’re able to save by eliminating their extracurriculars and their sports teams.

Yes, this is a statewide problem.  Let’s stop kidding ourselves about that.

This is such a big deal, teacher unions in New York have filed suit.  The challenges were largely unsuccessful, but I think it’s not up to the unions to fight our battles for us.  This is our problem that we need to solve.

We can’t solve it through divisive politics.  This isn’t a Republican or Democrat thing.  It isn’t a sports vs. clubs thing.  It isn’t a conservative vs. liberal thing.  This is a power thing.

The truth is that Albany has taken away our power at the local level.  To do something about it, we need to attack the tax cap and we need to attack the GAP elimination adjustment.  We’ve lived under both for as long as we can stomach.  They both need to go.

The only way we can do that in a dysfunctional Albany is to send a loud and clear message.  Our state representatives that vote to extend the status quo should lose their jobs.  Anybody promising change who doesn’t deliver should be swept out of office.  And we need to support candidates who will support our view in Albany that the tax cap and GAP elimination adjustment need to go.

I’m willing to entertain all options that have us casting our votes in November as one voting bloc.  That includes forming a PAC and getting funding, if needed.

We have plenty of natural allies.  The teacher unions have already taken action, and would support us.  Local politicians who see the tax cap as standing in the way of funding needed improvements should also support us.  People who care about education should support us.

We need to get money, find candidates and ensure pledges from like-minded people that we will support only state politicians who will overturn the tax cap and force Albany to find alternative funding for balancing the state budget.  It can’t happen on the backs of our kids.

I’d love to hear your ideas for organizing, in comments here and on Facebook.